马斯克最新预言（英中马斯克说）

Elon Musk says upcoming recession is 'actually a good thing,' and predicts how long it will last埃隆·马斯克说，即将到来的衰退“实际上是一件好事”，并预测衰退将持续多久

Tesla CEO welcomed the prospect of an economic correction, saying that companies that represent 'value destroyers' need to die特斯拉首席执行官表示期待看到经济调整的前景，称代表“价值破坏者”的公司需要死亡

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who has gained even more notoriety amid his purchase of Twitter and who has previously predicted an economic recession, claimed that the upcoming recession is "actually a good thing," a necessary "rude awakening" after a lax attitude from the COVID-19 pandemic.特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克因收购推特而变得更加臭名昭著，他之前曾预测经济衰退，声称即将到来的衰退“实际上是一件好事”，在新冠肺炎疫情造成的松懈态度后，这是一个必要的“猛然醒悟”。

A Twitter user asked Musk, "Do you still think we're approaching a recession?"一位推特用户问马斯克：“你仍然认为我们正在接近经济衰退吗？”

"Yes, but this is actually a good thing," the Tesla CEO responded. "It has been raining money on fools for too long. Some bankruptcies need to happen."“是的，但这实际上是一件好事，”特斯拉首席执行官回应道。“把钱花在傻瓜身上已经太久了。一些破产需要发生。”

Elon Musk attends The Metropolitan Museum of Art's Costume Institute benefit gala celebrating the opening of the "In America: An Anthology of Fashion" exhibition on May 2 in New York. On Monday, SpaceX President and COO Gwynne Shotwell defended Musk (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP / AP Newsroom)埃隆·马斯克出席大都会艺术博物馆时装学院慈善晚会，庆祝5月2日在纽约举办的《在美国：时尚选集》展会的开幕。周一，SpaceX总裁兼首席运营官Gwynne Shotwell为马斯克辩护（图片由Evan Agostini/Invision/AP/AP Newsroom提供）

"Also, all the Covid stay-at-home stuff has tricked people into thinking that you don’t actually need to work hard," he added, referring to the increasing number of workers working from home during and after the pandemic, and potentially referencing the lax attitude as a result of checks from COVID-19 relief bills. "Rude awakening inbound!"“此外，所有新冠居家办公的事情都欺骗了人们，让他们认为你实际上不需要努力工作，”他补充说，他指的是在新冠疫情期间和之后越来越多的员工在家工作，并可能指的是由于新冠肺炎救济法案的支票而导致的松懈态度。“猛然醒悟！”

Both individuals and companies received stimulus payments in the three rounds of COVID-19 relief.在三轮新冠肺炎救济中，个人和公司都获得了刺激资金。

Another Twitter user asked how long the recession would likely last.另一位推特用户问道，经济衰退可能会持续多久。

Twitter headquarters is seen in San Francisco, California, United States on October 27, 2021. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images / Getty Images)当地时间2021年10月27日，美国加利福尼亚州旧金山，推特总部。 （图片来源：Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images/Getty Images）

"Based on past experience, about 12 to 18 months," Musk responded. "Companies that are inherently negative cash flow (ie value destroyers) need to die, so that they stop consuming resources."“根据过去的经验，大约12到18个月，”马斯克回应说。“本质上是负现金流的公司（即价值破坏者）需要死亡，这样他们才能停止消耗资源。”

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, warned this week that the Federal Reserve's move to increase interest rates to offset record inflation may trigger a recession.全球最大的资产管理公司贝莱德本周警告称，美联储为抵消创纪录的通胀而采取的加息举措可能引发经济衰退。

"The Fed's hawkish pivot has raised the risk that markets see rates staying in restrictive territory," BlackRock said in a research note. "The year-to-date selloff partly reflects this, yet we see no clear catalyst for a rebound. If they hike interest rates too much, they risk triggering a recession. If they tighten not enough, the risk becomes runaway inflation. It's tough to see a perfect outcome."“美联储的鹰派转向增加了市场认为利率保持在限制性区间的风险，”贝莱德在一份研究报告中表示。年初至今的抛售在一定程度上反映了这一点，但我们没有看到明显的反弹催化剂。如果他们加息太多，就有引发经济衰退的风险。如果他们收紧得不够，风险就会变成失控的通胀。很难看到一个完美的结果。